[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 080825
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 08 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT SEP 11 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.2N  70.1W      47  1  X  X 48   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  8  8
15.5N  72.5W       3 32  X  X 35   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3
16.8N  75.0W       X 10 19  X 29   MDPP 198N 707W     X  2  3  X  5
SKPG 125N 717W    10  6  X  X 16   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  1  2
TNCC 122N 690W    21  X  X  X 21   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  3  4
MDSD 185N 697W     X  5  2  X  7   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     X 22  2  X 24   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  8  8
MTPP 186N 724W     X 12  9  X 21   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  9  9
MTCA 183N 738W     X 10 16  1 27   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X 19  5 24   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 10 12 22   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 13 13   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 16  5 21   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2 16 18   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 13 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net