[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 080231
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 10 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.8N  68.8W      49  1  X  X 50   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 16 16
14.9N  71.6W       2 31  1  X 34   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 12 12
16.3N  74.2W       X  6 20  X 26   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  8  8
SKPG 125N 717W     1 15  X  X 16   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  6  6
TNCC 122N 690W    24  2  X  X 26   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
SVMG 110N 640W    18  X  X  X 18   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  5  2  8
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  2  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  7  4  X 11   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  4  5
MDCB 176N 714W     X 17  7  X 24   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  4 15  1 20   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X  2 19  2 23   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  9 13 22   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  3 17 20   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 12 12   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  7 11 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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