[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 6 15:17:59 CDT 2004


WTNT41 KNHC 062017
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES DISCUSSION NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 06 2004

RADAR DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT FRANCES HAS BEEN
MOVING INLAND. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS MAINLY OVER WATER OR
ALONG THE COAST. WEAKENING OVER LAND IS ANTICIPATED.

FRANCES IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TO MOVE ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK...
ABOUT 8 TO 10 KNOTS...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ALONG ITS PATH.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      06/2100Z 30.6N  84.3W    40 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     07/0600Z 31.5N  85.0W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     07/1800Z 33.0N  85.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     08/0600Z 34.5N  85.0W    20 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     08/1800Z 36.0N  84.0W    20 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     09/1800Z 40.5N  80.0W    20 KT...INLAND
 96HR VT     10/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT


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