[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT34 KNHC 061759
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST MON SEP 06 2004

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IVAN WEAKER BUT STILL DANGEROUS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST.
VINCENT... THE GRENADINES...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.4 WEST OR ABOUT  360 MILES...
580 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE
APPROACHING THE ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.
HOWEVER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL BEGIN TO
DETERIORATE THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR
115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HOWEVER IVAN MAY
RE-STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT REACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE HURRICANE HUNTERS REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  969
MB...28.61 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...11.4 N... 54.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

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