[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT34 KNHC 061444
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 06 2004

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE HEADED FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES AND A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.4 WEST OR ABOUT  435 MILES...
700 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE
APPROACHING THE ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...11.2 N... 53.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

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