[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT34 KNHC 061148
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST MON SEP 06 2004

...DANGEROUS IVAN HEADED FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS AND ST LUCIA AND A
HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO...AND FOR GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND OF
MARTINIQUE LATER THIS MORNING.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.6 WEST OR ABOUT  485 MILES...
780 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH ...37 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IVAN IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  951 MB...28.08 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...11.1 N... 52.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

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