[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 051513
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
051812-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1112 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH WORKING ACROSS COASTAL
INDIAN RIVER...SOUTH BREVARD...AND NORTHEAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES...

...HURRICANE WARNING FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO NORTH OF
DEERFIELD BEACH WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING FOR OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND
INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

...TORNADO WATCH FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 2 PM EDT...

...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...WITH A FLOOD WARNING FOR BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER AND ST.
LUCIE COUNTIES...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.2 WEST...ABOUT 25
MILES NORTHEAST OF SEBRING AND 80 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA
FLORIDA.

THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 9 MPH.  A CONTINUED WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ACROSS
THE PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRANCES SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CORE OF FRANCES MOVES OVER
LAND.

INITIAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FROM SATELLITE BEACH INDICATES MANY
HOUSES WITHIN 1500 FEET OF THE BEACH WITH MODERATE DAMAGE. ONE
BUSINESS AND CONDO BUILDING DESTROYED BY FIRE. 50 TO 100
RESIDENCES...MAINLY CONDOS...UNINHABITABLE. 20 TO 30 BUSINESSES
WITH MODERATE DAMAGE. MINIMUM WATER PRESSURE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WITH THE CENTER OF FRANCES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN
OSCEOLA COUNTY WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH ARE
POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA. EVEN THOUGH IT IS NOW THE
BEGINNING OF THE SECOND DAY OF HIGH WINDS FROM FRANCIS RESIDENTS MUST
REMAIN IN SHELTER AND NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE UNTIL WINDS GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE MUCH LATER TODAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF FRANCES IS DRIFTING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OSCEOLA COUNTY...
PLACING MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN ITS STRONG NORTH QUADRANT.
THE STORM IS CRAWLING TO THE NORTHWEST AND IS PUSHING THE NORTH AND
EAST EYEWALL INTO SEMINOLE...ORANGE...AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. DUE TO
THE SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...IT MAY TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE EYEWALL
TO PUSH THROUGH THE ORLANDO METRO AREA. AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING
ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 69 MPH.

DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH OUT OF THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST
CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTH ORANGE...NORTH OSCEOLA...SOUTH
BREVARD...AND EAST INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES.  THESE WINDS WILL FURTHER
DAMAGE STRUCTURES BATTERED BY THE LONG DURATION IMPACTS OF FRANCES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
SURGE VALUES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING
FROM FORT PIERCE TO COCOA BEACH...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES.
NORTH OF COCOA...2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH 4 TO 5 FEET ON
THE RIM OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE AS WINDS PUSH LAKE WATER NORTHEAST.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES
AS HEAVY RAIN MOVES ONSHORE WITH INTENSE RAINBANDS. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALLS OF UP TO 14 TO 16 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN ESTIMATED
OFFSHORE WHERE THE NORTH SIDE OF FRANCES HAS SLOWLY MOVED
OVERNIGHT. TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE OVER MUCH
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AS THE RAINBANDS ON THE NORTH AND EAST SIDE
OF FRANCES MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT...
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 18 INCHES MAINLY WHERE THE INNER RAINBANDS
PASS OVER. SIGNIFICANT LOCAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AND FLOODING ON THE
SAINT JOHNS RIVER AND CENTRAL FLORIDA LAKES WILL FOLLOW IN THE DAYS
TO COME.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY WITH
RAINBANDS MOVING ONSHORE AND LATER TODAY AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE
INLAND. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MOST OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTH TO
FLORIDA CITY...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL COUNTIES...AND ALSO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN INLAND HURRICANE
WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES AND AN
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.  A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.  A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 2 PM.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 PM
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

DECKER

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