[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT31 KNHC 051257
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  46B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004

...FRANCES CONTINUES ITS TREK OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA...A WIND GUST TO
124 MPH AT PORT CANAVERAL...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING
LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND
BAHAMA...ABACO...BIMINI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO
FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ST. MARKS SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY...
AND ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO
FLORIDA CITY...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM WEST OF ST. MARKS TO PANAMA CITY.

AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE LARGE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.9 WEST...ABOUT 35
MILES EAST OF SEBRING FLORIDA. LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
110 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA FLORIDA.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH. A CONTINUED WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ACROSS THE PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CORE OF FRANCES MOVES OVER
LAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES. A WIND GUST OF 124 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT PORT
CANAVERAL IN BREVARD COUNTY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN
STILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE WEST AND SOUTH SIDES OF ISLANDS OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
STILL POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MADE
LANDFALL ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS IS
EXPECTED IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE PATH OF FRANCES. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
TO NEAR 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
FLORIDA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 9 AM EDT POSITION...27.5 N... 80.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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