[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KEYW 032126
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-040330-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...HURRICANE FRANCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
530 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2004

...OUTER SQUALLS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE FRANCES MOVING OVER THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST...WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE GRADUALLY...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED.
WIND IMPACTS UPDATED.
MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED.
PROBABILITIES UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE EFFECTS
OF HURRICANE FRANCES.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
KEYS...FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH
ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA...WITHIN 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 175 MILES EAST
OF OCEAN REEF...AND 280 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF KEY WEST. FRANCES
HAS BEEN WOBBELING...BUT IN GENERAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS
959 MB...28.32 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT IN MONROE COUNTY. ALL COUNTY
OFFICES ARE CLOSED...AS WELL AS MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND LIBRARIES.
THE MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR NON RESIDENTS AND VISITORS HAS BEEN
LIFTED. THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS SHOULD SECURE OBJECTS THAT CAN BE
BLOWN ABOUT BY GUSTY WINDS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
OVERNIGHT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH...WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 60 MPH...OVER THE UPPER
AND MIDDLE KEYS...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUING INTO
SATURDAY. THE LOWER KEYS CAN EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. PASSING SQUALLS WILL CREATE
PERIODS OF HIGHER WINDS OVER BOTH THE ISLANDS AND THE SURROUNDING
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT THROUGHOUT THE KEYS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT INTO SUNDAY.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND THE REEF OFFSHORE THE MIDDLE
AND UPPER KEYS OVERNIGHT. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FRANCES WILL BE
AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS.

...PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL PASS WITHIN 75
MILES OF KEY WEST BETWEEN NOW AND MONDAY AFTERNOON IS 2 PERCENT...4
PERCENT FOR MARATHON...AND 27 PERCENT FOR MIAMI.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE FRANCES
IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM EDT.

$$

LK









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