[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 31 21:40:35 CDT 2004
WTNT72 KNHC 010240
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
46.5N 51.0W 17 8 X X 25 EDDY POINT NS 13 X X X 13
49.0N 41.0W X 13 6 X 19 PTX BASQUES NFLD 3 X X X 3
51.5N 31.0W X X 10 X 10 BURGEO NFLD 6 X X X 6
YARMOUTH NS 3 X X X 3 ILE ST PIERRE 18 X X X 18
HALIFAX NS 12 X X X 12 CAPE RACE NFLD 22 3 X X 25
SABLE ISLAND NS 44 X X X 44 HIBERNIA OILFLD 5 18 X X 23
SYDNEY NS 10 X X X 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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