[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 310240
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU SEP  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

47.9N  61.8W      17  8  X  X 25   MONCTON NB        29  1  X  X 30
51.9N  54.4W       X 13  X  X 13   YARMOUTH NS       27  X  X  X 27
MONTAUK POINT NY  99  X  X  X 99   HALIFAX NS        17  1  X  X 18
PROVIDENCE RI     99  X  X  X 99   SABLE ISLAND NS    4  1  X  X  5
NANTUCKET MA      99  X  X  X 99   SYDNEY NS         10  8  X  X 18
HYANNIS MA        99  X  X  X 99   EDDY POINT NS     14  3  X  X 17
BOSTON MA         67  X  X  X 67   PTX BASQUES NFLD   6 14  X  X 20
PORTLAND ME       51  X  X  X 51   BURGEO NFLD        2 15  X  X 17
BAR HARBOR ME     48  X  X  X 48   ILE ST PIERRE      1 10  X  X 11
EASTPORT ME       40  X  X  X 40   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  5  X  X  5
ST JOHN NB        34  X  X  X 34

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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