[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 19 21:31:45 CDT 2004
WTNT74 KNHC 200231
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU AUG 19 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN AUG 22 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.5N 35.9W 99 X X X 99 31.7N 36.1W 17 2 2 1 22
31.1N 35.9W 25 1 1 X 27
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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