[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 18 03:28:53 CDT 2004
WTNT74 KNHC 180828
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 18 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SAT AUG 21 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.3N 39.5W 29 X 1 X 30 33.8N 37.0W 2 13 3 2 20
32.7N 38.4W 13 7 1 1 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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