[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 13 11:04:24 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KJAX 131603
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-132100-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1200 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY FORECAST TO MOVE A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...
CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...
NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...
BRADFORD...CLAY...MARION...PUTNAM COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA AND GEORGIA EAST COAST...INCLUDING CAMDEN...DUVAL...
FLAGLER...GLYNN...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...BAKER...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...UNION AND
ALSO FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...BRANTLEY...
INLAND CAMDEN...CHARLTON...INLAND GLYNN...PIERCE...AND WARE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE AND ALSO
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...
ATKINSON...BACON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS AND JEFF DAVIS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
SOUTH OF SARASOTA FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MAYPORT.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY. THIS WILL BRING THE CORE OF THE STORM A BIT CLOSER TO THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST...THEREFORE THERE HAVE BEEN CHANGES MADE TO THE
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT 18 HOURS ARE NEAR 80 MILES. INTERESTS
IN THE REGION...INCLUDING INLAND AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE CURRENT PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY AS WELL AS THE MOST
CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.  EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. INTERESTS IN THE
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA SHOULD HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...
BATTERIES AND A BATTERY OPERATED RADIO IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGE. NEVER
USE CANDLES DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OF FIRE. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE A
FULLY STOCKED HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KIT IN PLACE. A SUPPLY OF
DRINKING WATER...BABY SUPPLIES AND ANY PRESCRIPTION MEDICATIONS ARE
THE HIGHEST PRIORITIES FOR YOUR KIT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
CHARLEY IS NOW EXPECTED TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WITH
A LONGER PERIOD OF ONSHORE WINDS. GENERAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2
TO 4 FEET IS EXPECTED. A FEW AREAS ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST...MAINLY
IN BACK BAYS AND RIVERS...COULD SEE TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL. INTERESTS WHO NORMALLY EXPERIENCE FLOODING DURING STRONG
NORTHEASTERS SHOULD SECURE PROPERTY AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
MARION COUNTY WINDS....WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET
AND SHOULD REACH 60 MPH BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM.  A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS IS
EXPECTED AFTER 5 AM.

ALACHUA...BRADFORD...CLAY AND PUTNAM COUNTIES....WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 60 MPH BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1
AM. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY BETWEEN 1 AM AND 3 AM.  A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS
IS EXPECTED AFTER 6 AM.

ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER
SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS IS
EXPECTED AFTER 6 AM. DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT TRACK A HURRICANE
WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER
SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 4 AM. A GRADUAL DECREASE
IN THE WINDS IS EXPECTED AFTER 8 AM. DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT TRACK A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER
SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH BETWEEN 1 AM AND 4 AM. A GRADUAL DECREASE
IN THE WINDS IS EXPECTED AFTER 8 AM. DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT TRACK
A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

BAKER...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST AND UNION COUNTIES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 55 MPH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS
IS EXPECTED AFTER 6 AM.

BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE...WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET AND SHOULD REACH 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 55 MPH BETWEEN 2 AM AND 6 AM. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS
IS EXPECTED AFTER 6 AM.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.  CONFUSED HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  ANY PERSONS WHO ARE NOT
EXPERT SWIMMERS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE SURF TODAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT IN
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS
TODAY. AS THE HURRICANE MOVES NORTH...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS
HURRICANE CHARLEY TRANSITS THE REGION BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RIVER
LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY LOW AND...AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT RIVER
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND
INTERESTS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THIS
POSSIBILITY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS OF THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE SUWANNEE VALLEY ARE NEAR SATURATION AND MAY EXPERIENCE
LOCALIZED SURFACE FLOODING PRIOR TO HURRICANE LANDFALL.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBLE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL MOISTURE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM...AND APPROACHING
HURRICANE CHARLEY ALL INTERACT ACROSS THE REGION. TORNADOES CAN AND
DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING...REMAIN ALERT FOR DETERIORATING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 500 AM EDT OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE CHARLEY AND LOCAL CONDITIONS IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

$$

SANDRIK

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