[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMFL 131602
HLSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-132200-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR GLADES...
HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...WESTERN BROWARD...AND WESTERN
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO OCEAN REEF...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
NORTH OF OCEAN REEF INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR METRO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PERSONS IN COLLIER, HENDRY, GLADES,
MAINLAND MONROE, PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING CHARLEY A STRONG
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS CHARLEY APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA WEST CENTRAL COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE COLLIER COUNTY OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ISSUED A
MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR FOR ALL LOCATIONS WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 41.
THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF MARCO ISLAND, COPELAND,
CHOKOLOSKEE, EVERGLADES CITY, GOODLAND, ISLES OF CAPRI, NAPLES, AND
NAPLES PARK. IN ADDITION...MOBILE HOME PARKS OUTSIDE THE MANDATORY
EVACUATION AREA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO EVACUATE. SEVERAL SHELTERS ARE
OPEN IN COLLIER COUNTY. AS WINDS INCREASE THIS MORNING...COLLIER
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ADVISES COLLIER RESIDENTS THAT IT WILL
NOT BE SAFE TO BE OUTDOORS ONCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE
ARRIVED. TRAVEL IN COLLIER COUNTY AFTER MID MORNING IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. THE COLLIER COUNTY INFORMATION LINE FOR RUMOR
CONTROL...DAMAGE REPORTS AND INFORMATION IS 239.774.8444.

OFFICIALS IN HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES HAVE RECOMMENDED VOLUNTARY
EVACUATIONS OF MOBILE HOMES. SEVERAL SHELTERS ARE OPEN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED INLAND FROM THE HURRICANE
WARNING ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PORT MAYACA SOUTH TO FLORIDA
CITY INCLUDING ALL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THIS LINE IN METRO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES INCLUDING WEST PALM BEACH...FORT
LAUDERDALE...AND MIAMI.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL INCREASE THROUGH NOON ALONG THE GULF OF
MEXICO COAST AND ITS TIDAL ESTUARIES. THEN HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL
PASS AROUND 60 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF NAPLES AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED SEVERAL HOURS AFTER
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WHICH MEANS THE TIDES ALONG THE COLLIER AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY COASTLINES WILL BE GOING UP STEADILY ALL
DAY...REACHING THE MAXIMUM LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY WEST TO MARCO ISLAND...THE
MAXIMUM STORM TIDE...WHICH IS A COMBINATION OF THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL
PLUS STORM SURGE...WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 6 PM EDT AT ABOUT 6 TO 7
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS MEANS STATE ROADS 29...92...AND 951
AS WELL AS PART OF U.S. HIGHWAY 41 TAMIAMI TRAIL WILL LIKELY BE
UNDERWATER FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING CUTTING OFF
ACCESS.

IN THE NAPLES AREA...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE WILL BE AROUND 5 PM EDT
AT ABOUT 8 TO 9 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WILL LIKELY INUNDATE
SEVERAL STREETS SOUTH OF NAPLES IN THE PORT ROYAL AREA AND NEAR
NAPLES BAY.

THE WORST STORM TIDE WILL BE NORTH OF NAPLES FROM VANDERBILT BEACH TO
THE LEE COUNTY LINE INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE COCOHATCHEE RIVER AND
LELY BAREFOOT BEACH. IN THIS AREA THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE WILL BE
BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM EDT AT ABOUT 9 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.
THIS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN THE BONITA SHORES AREA AS WELL
AS VANDERBILT BEACH AND PELICAN BAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BLOW THE WATER IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE
TOWARD THE NORTH AND WEST SHORES...RESULTING IN WATER LEVELS AS MUCH
AS 3 FEET HIGHER ALONG THESE SHORES. THE LAKE LEVEL THURSDAY MORNING
WAS ABOUT 12.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...SO LAKE ELEVATIONS ALONG
THE NORTH AND WEST SHORE COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 16 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AS CHARLEY MOVES NORTH. ALTHOUGH THE HOOVER DIKE EXTENDS
ALMOST ALL THE WAY AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE...BACKWATER MAY BE PUSHED
WEST INTO THE FISHEATING CREEK BASIN RESULTING IN SOME MINOR FLOODING
ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE CREEK.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 11 AM...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WERE MOVING NORTH INTO THE
GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
STEADILY INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS. SHORTLY AFTER NOON TODAY...SUSTAINED
WINDS SHOULD BE INCREASING TO ABOVE 40 MPH IN THE NAPLES AREA WITH
GUSTS JUST HURRICANE FORCE LASTING INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
WINDS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES WHICH COULD LAST FOR A WEEK OR MORE.

WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL SPREAD INLAND
ACROSS INLAND COLLIER AND ACROSS HENDRY...GLADES COUNTIES AND
WESTERN PALM BEACH AND THE EVERGLADES OF FAR WESTERN BROWARD...AND
MIAMI-DADE DURING THE DAY TODAY.

WINDS IN THE METRO AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHEAST...ESPECIALLY IN RAINBANDS
THAT WILL PERIODICALLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...AND THEN SLOWLY
SUBSIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL AFFECT LAKE OKEECHOBEE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
MARINERS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS AND BE SAFELY
SECURED IN PORT.

RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL MAKE SWIMMING OR
SURFING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLANTIC OCEAN DANGEROUS.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA RECEIVED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AS THE
FIRST RAINBANDS FROM CHARLEY MOVED THROUGH. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH BURSTS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN IN
SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE GULF COAST. SPIRAL BANDS WILL PRODUCE
BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AS WELL. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.
THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN POORLY DRAINED
AREAS INCLUDING UNDERPASSES AND DRAINAGE DITCHES. MANY ROADWAYS WILL
BE UNDER WATER AND ACCESS COULD BE CUT OFF TO LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS..
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT AS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE
IN A FAVORED LOCATION AS CHARLEY MOVES NORTH. TORNADOES ARE MOST
LIKELY WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS AS THEY ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE. TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE
CHARLEY WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 10 AM EDT.

$$
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