[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 12 06:47:08 CDT 2004


WTNT33 KNHC 121146
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...CHARLEY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY
TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO TARPON SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THE WARNING FOR JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING THIS MORNING.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES
...65 KM... EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


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