[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KEYW 121118 AAA
HLSEYW
FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-121300-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED FOR TRAFFIC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
715 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO BEYOND
DRY TORTUGAS...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS HAS BEEN ORDERED FROM MILE
MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RECREATIONAL VEHICLES IN ALL THE
FLORIDA KEYS...

...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS IN THE UPPER KEYS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
LOCAL TRAFFIC IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS FROM MILE MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST
HAS BEEN ORDERED...AND A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS IN THE
UPPER KEYS IS IN EFFECT. A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES IN ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN ORDERED. IN ADDITION...AS
OF 8 AM THIS MORNING...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL MOBILE HOMES
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST WILL BE ISSUED. MONROE COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM AND ISSUE
FURTHER EVACUATIONS AND OTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AS NECESSARY.
RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE URGED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF FAIR
WEATHER THIS MORNING TO COMPLETE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...INCLUDING
SECURING YOUR HOUSE AND PROPERTY...AND OBTAINING HURRICANE SUPPLIES.
STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ANY NOTICES FROM LOCAL
AUTHORITIES.

FOR THOSE NEEDING TRANSPORTATION FOR EVACUATION...GREYHOUND BUS
LINES WILL HAVE BUSES LEAVING KEY WEST AT 845 AM...1130 AM...AND 545
PM TODAY...AND WILL SCHEDULE EXTRA BUSES IF THERE IS A DEMAND.
CONTACT GREYHOUND IN KEY WEST FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON DEPARTURE
TIMES AND STATION LOCATIONS.

PLEASE CHECK WITH YOUR AIRLINE OR RENTAL CAR COMPANY ON SCHEDULES
AND AVAILABILITY IF YOU ARE CONSIDERING AIR OR VEHICLE TRAVEL OFF
THE KEYS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE AFFECTS
OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS IN MONROE
COUNTY...FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO BEYOND DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS IN MONROE
COUNTY...FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA BAY. IN ADDITION...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS
OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND STORM SURGE...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH AND STORM SURGE...ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND STORM
SURGE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION....
AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR
16 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 753 AM THIS MORNING...951 PM THIS
EVENING...AND 842 AM FRIDAY MORNING AT KEY WEST HARBOR. HIGH TIDES
AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON WILL BE AT 642 AM THIS MORNING...840 PM THIS
EVENING...AND 731 AM FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING.
AS HURRICANE CHARLEY IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO PASS JUST WEST OF THE
LOWER KEYS...THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE WILL BE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN...ATLANTIC SHORES OF THE KEYS...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER
KEYS AND KEY WEST. STORM SURGE OF 2 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS...AND THE LOWER KEYS CAN EXPECT A STORM SURGE
OF AROUND 4 FEET.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE KEYS ARE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO
15 MPH. ALONG THE REEF...AUTOMATED COASTAL STATIONS REPORT EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS...NOT IN DIRECT ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY...MAY
BRING BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE KEYS WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT THESE SPEEDS THIS
MORNING...AND BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD USE THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
TODAY TO SECURE THEIR CRAFT...AND ARE ADVISED NOT TO LEAVE PORT THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING...WHEN CONDITIONS OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS ARE
EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY
THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ESPECIALLY
IF STORM SURGE FLOODING PREVENTS RAINWATER DRAINAGE.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
EVEN THOUGH HURRICANE CHARLEY IS NOT FORECAST TO MAKE DIRECT
LANDFALL OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME...THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL
REMAIN VULNERABLE TO TORNADOES IN ASSOCIATION WITH CHARLEY. THE
FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
CHARLEY...WHICH IS HIGHLY FAVORED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED
TORNADOES. SUBSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A SUBSTANTIAL RISK FOR TORNADOES
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF CHARLEY WHICH SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING THE
FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL TRAFFIC IMPACTS...
THE 18 MILE STRETCH IS CURRENTLY CLOSED...DUE TO TO AN ACCIDENT AT
MILE MARKER 110. PLEASE USE CARD SOUND ROAD AS A DETOUR TO EXIT THE
FLORIDA KEYS. STAY TUNED TO ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONAL ABOUT ROAD
REOPENINGS.

...PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PASS WITHIN 75
MILES OF KEY WEST IS CURRENTLY 37 PERCENT...AND 30 PERCENT FOR
MARATHON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT 900 AM EDT.
$$

LK







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