[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT32 KNHC 120557
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2004

...BONNIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.

AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.2 WEST OR ABOUT
240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT
BONNIE REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  BONNIE HAS BEEN ON A
WEAKENING TREND DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IF THIS PERSISTS THE
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER
THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD BE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IN APALACHEE BAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 88.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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