[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT33 KNHC 120552
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY THURSDAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM DRY
TORTUGAS TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND ON THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA EARLY THURSDAY.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES
...265 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...23 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE NEAR OR OVER
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.  OUTER RAIN BANDS OF CHARLEY
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  RAIN BANDS WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS IN SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF
JAMAICA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT CHARLEY HAS STRENGTHENED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW
NEAR 85 MPH...135 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO
BE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA
OVERNIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER THIS
MORNING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...18.0 N... 79.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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