[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT32 KNHC 112053
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

...BONNIE CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM
DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.3 WEST OR ABOUT
165 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
BONNIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42001...LOCATED EAST OF THE CENTER OF
BONNIE...REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 76 MPH EARLIER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
BONNIE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.7 N... 89.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


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