[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 112044
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.8N  84.7W      32  2  X  X 34   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X 10 10
34.1N  81.3W       X 17  3  X 20   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  9  9
38.3N  77.0W       X  1 11  2 14   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  8  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  1  1  X  2   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  3  X  X  3   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  5  1  X  6   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   1 10  2  X 13   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    3 16  X  X 19   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        1 18  1  X 20   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X 14  4  X 18   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  8  8  X 16   FT MYERS FL        1  2  X  X  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  4 10  1 15   VENICE FL          3  3  X  X  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1 10  2 13   TAMPA FL           5  7  X  X 12
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  9  2 11   CEDAR KEY FL      15  7  X  X 22
NORFOLK VA         X  1 10  2 13   ST MARKS FL       31  3  X  X 34
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  8  5 13   APALACHICOLA FL   40  X  X  X 40
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  6  6 12   PANAMA CITY FL    42  X  X  X 42
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  4  8 12   PENSACOLA FL      28  X  X  X 28
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  9 11   MOBILE AL          8  X  X  X  8
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1 10 11   GULFPORT MS        2  X  X  X  2
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 85W      41  X  X  X 41
HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 87W      55  1  X  X 56
BOSTON MA          X  X  1 10 11   GULF 28N 89W      57  X  X  X 57
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X 11 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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