[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 232341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232341
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-240115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0917
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024

Areas affected...Portions of middle/eastern Tennessee and Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293...

Valid 232341Z - 240115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293
continues.

SUMMARY...A locally damaging wind and marginally severe hail threat
will continue for another 1 to 2 hours across portions middle and
eastern TN, and KY.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms associated with an MCV,
along with an embedded bowing segment now moving into Campbell
County, will continue to pose a severe damaging wind threat over the
next couple of hours. After-which, the system will begin to move
into a less favorable thermodynamic environment downstream. In
addition to damaging winds, any of the more discrete updrafts within
30-35 kt of deep effective layer shear could become briefly
organized and produce marginally severe hail up to 1.25" in
diameter. However, poor mid-level lapse rates should keep this
threat fairly isolated. A watch extension east of the cluster may be
necessary.

..Barnes.. 05/23/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON   35268492 35918454 36408493 37018444 36988405 36978357
            36568329 36098363 35648363 35518392 35148437 35268492
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