[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022135
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022134
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-022300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0356
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0434 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

Areas affected...Central Kentucky...Northern Middle
Tennessee...Southwest Ohio

Concerning...Tornado Watch 78...

Valid 022134Z - 022300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 78 continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for multiple discrete supercells and
attendant tornadoes is increasing along an axis from southwest Ohio
into central Kentucky and northern Middle Tennessee.

DISCUSSION...Regional radars show a line of thunderstorms
intensifying from southeast IN into west-central KY and northwest
TN.  Multiple cells in this line have developed mid-level rotation
in the past 45 min, with reported tornadoes in the storm west of
Cincinnati.  Clouds have thinned ahead of this activity, where
temperatures have locally warmed into the mid 70s along with
dewpoints in the mid 60s.  A 50+ knot southerly low-level jet is
aiding in impressive shear parameters, with VAD profiles showing
0-3km SRH values of 300-500 m2/s2.  Discrete supercells in this line
appear to be the primary concern for tornadoes (potentially strong)
during the next 1-2 hours.  Steep mid-level lapse rates will also
promote large hail in the stronger cells.

..Hart.. 04/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36768743 39328510 39868390 39388352 37138532 35988714
            35928849 36768743
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