[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022133
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-022300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0355
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee and far western North Carolina.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 022133Z - 022300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...A tornado watch may be needed across eastern Tennessee and
potentially into far western North Carolina.

DISCUSSION...A supercell has moved east of watch 79 across eastern
Tennessee. Additional storm development is questionable as
widespread thunderstorms have developed to the west with anvil
debris across much of eastern Tennessee. However, at least scattered
supercell development remains possible through early evening. The
MRX VWP currently shows less than 100 m2/s2 0-1km SRH with the
stronger low-level jet to the west. This wind profile is expected to
increase after 00Z as this low-level jet slowly moves east. A
tornado watch will eventually be needed this evening, as low-level
shear and storm coverage increases.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36028533 36598459 36618330 36568208 36138184 35878242
            35538324 35218386 34998426 34978477 34998542 34978579
            35118597 36028533
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