[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 291919
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291918
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-292115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1774
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023

Areas affected...central Missouri into southern Illinois and westerm
Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567...

Valid 291918Z - 292115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567
continues.

SUMMARY...Risk for damaging winds continues across the WW area, and
will likely expand east/southeast of the watch later this afternoon.
 This may require additional/downstream WW issuance.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a still-organized/bowing band
of severe storms moving across parts of northern and central
Missouri at this time.  The convection is moving through a
moderately unstable airmass -- where mixed-layer CAPE as high as
3000 J/kg is indicated.  A similar airmass extends east into
southern Illinois and western Kentucky, which suggests that storms
should continue moving east-southeastward, and eventually move out
of the current bounds of WW 567.  With storms likely to maintain
organization, and thus severe risk to continue, a new/downstream WW
will likely/eventually need to be considered.

..Goss.. 07/29/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   38249268 38869200 39099182 39979238 39138780 36828652
            36548878 38249268
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