[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 182221
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182221
KYZ000-TNZ000-182345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0817
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0521 PM CDT Wed May 18 2022

Areas affected...South-Central Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240...

Valid 182221Z - 182345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240
continues.

SUMMARY...A large hail/damaging wind threat will continue into this
evening.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of mostly elevated storms continues on the
eastern periphery of the instability gradient across central
Kentucky. Greater surface based instability has developed on the
western edge of this cluster where a greater large hail/damaging
wind threat will persist. Visible satellite shows deepening cumulus
across this region, indicating continued westward growth of
surface-based storms. Ongoing storms across Taylor and Casey
counties show some supercell structures, and effective shear around
45 to 50 knots and MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg (per SPC mesoanalysis)
will continue to support updraft organization from these storms and
any new storms which develop to the west.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 05/18/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   37608665 37778577 37648457 37458401 37238380 36848378
            36578399 36538456 36598565 36598571 36648622 36838655
            37608665
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