[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 012324
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012324
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-020100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1008
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 PM CDT Wed Jun 01 2022

Areas affected...portions of southern Illinois and Indiana into
western Tennessee/Kentucky and southeastern Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 012324Z - 020100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts and or hail will be possible
with semi-organized storms this evening. A weather watch is not
anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Across much of the lower OH/central MS River Valleys,
several semi-organized clusters of thunderstorms may pose a
localized risk for damaging wind gusts and perhaps isolated hail
this evening.  The lack of greater vertical shear (Bulk shear less
than 25 kt) and diurnal heating being the predominate driver, storm
organization is expected to remain minimal. However, any clustering
of stronger multi-cell updrafts may produce isolated damaging
outflow winds and or small hail. The risk for isolated severe
weather should continue for another couple of hours before a gradual
decrease in intensity is expected later this evening. Unless greater
storm organization appears imminent, a weather watch is unlikely.

..Lyons/Hart.. 06/01/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...

LAT...LON   36839049 37998886 39148679 39638560 39688506 39508483
            39098489 38658523 38208568 37568688 37028773 36468826
            35538888 34858943 34698993 34909025 35279047 35629059
            36839049

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