[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 041232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041231
TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-041400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0522
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0731 AM CDT Tue May 04 2021

Areas affected...Middle Tennessee and adjacent northern Alabama

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 141...

Valid 041231Z - 041400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 141
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk is focused across northern Middle Tennessee at
this time, with downstream areas being monitored.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an organized band of
thunderstorms -- and associated outflow -- moving eastward across
Middle Tennessee, while outflow from storms across southern Kentucky
moves southward.  The most vigorous convection is ongoing near the
intersection of these two outflow boundaries intersect -- i.e. over
northern Middle Tennessee.  An area of rotation within the broader
band of convection continues, and is now over western Jackson
county.  While a brief tornadic spin-up remains possible here, and
elsewhere along the leading edge of the convective band, potential
for locally damaging winds will continue/shift eastward across WW
141 this morning, through a favorably unstable/amply sheared
environment.

..Goss.. 05/04/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36638594 36598565 36618506 36558386 35408420 34588588
            34808807 35388714 36058669 36318617 36638594
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