[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 050116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050116
GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-050245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0538
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0816 PM CDT Mon May 04 2020

Areas affected...Portions of Middle Tennessee into northern Alabama
and northern Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...

Valid 050116Z - 050245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across WW 0166. Large hail and
damaging gusts are the primary threat.

DISCUSSION...An organized MCS is ongoing across southern parts of
Middle TN, with a history of large hail up to golfball size and
occasional damaging wind gusts. Mid-level flow paralleling MCS
motion remains strong (60+ knots at 500 mb), with an axis of
1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE residing downstream of the MCS. As such, the
severe threat is expected to continue for at least a few more hours
across WW 0166, before gradually diminishing during the overnight
hours, as supported by the latest high-resolution model guidance.

..Squitieri.. 05/05/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35448894 36078776 36208648 35778489 35308389 34818366
            34388378 34198473 34288593 35448894
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