[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 13 17:09:53 CDT 2019


ACUS11 KWNS 132209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132209
TNZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-132315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1729
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0509 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

Areas affected...Middle and eastern Tennessee

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579...

Valid 132209Z - 132315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 579.

DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms continue
across mainly northern and central portions of ongoing WW 579 at
this time.  These storms are loosely organized and in a marginally
strong shear environment, though strong instability (3500-5000 J/kg
MUCAPE) continues to support occasional wind-damage-producing
downbursts with mostly outflow-dominant storms.  Observations and
short-term model guidance suggests that these storms should continue
to gradually grow upscale over the next few hours, with the severe
threat tapering off from north to south as overturning and maturing
cold-pool processes continue.

..Cook.. 08/13/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   36038788 36318734 36648611 36648494 36258446 35628412
            35118425 34938467 35058654 34988770 35178812 35488819
            36038788
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