[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010450
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010449
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0604
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 PM CDT Thu May 31 2018

Areas affected...Northern Arkansas...Western Tennessee...Western
Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142...

Valid 010449Z - 010645Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue for a few more hours
across northern Arkansas, western Tennessee and possibly into far
western Kentucky. Wind damage and hail will be the primary threats.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a linear MCS ongoing in
northern Arkansas extending eastward into far western Kentucky near
the TN-KY state line. The MCS is moving east-southeastward into a
moderately unstable airmass where surface dewpoints are in the lower
70s F. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP in western Tennessee shows 0-6k
shear near 35 kt and has 40 kt of flow near 4 km AGL. This along
with the moderate instability should be enough for a wind damage
threat with the stronger cells within the linear MCS. Hail should be
the lesser threat but will also be possible in the stronger cores.

..Broyles/Thompson.. 06/01/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LZK...TSA...

LAT...LON   35578894 35209025 35209140 35449277 35779334 36149338
            36359305 36399250 36299154 36309062 36648953 37128899
            37248837 36478787 35578894
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