[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 221856
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221856
WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-222300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0053
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...ERN KY...FAR SW WV

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 221856Z - 222300Z

SUMMARY...BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL...WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES
OVER 1 INCH PER HOURS...IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE GRADUALLY
SHIFTING EWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOUR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE
STRENGTH OF THE BAND IS EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS THE
STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT SHIFTS FARTHER EWD/NEWD.

DISCUSSION...CURRENT REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOW A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW FROM MIDDLE TN NEWD INTO SWRN WV. LATEST
MESOANALYSIS PLACES THE 850-MB LOW CENTER JUST TO THE S OF THIS BAND
OVER FAR NRN AL. AS THIS LOW CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY MOVE ENEWD
ACROSS GA...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED OFF THE SC
COAST...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL EWD/NEWD SHIFT OF THE FRONTOGENESIS
SUPPORTING THIS BAND. AS A RESULT...THE BAND WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN STRENGTH THIS AFTERNOON...EVENTUALLY
DISPERSING OR REFORMING ACROSS AREAS TO THE NE BY THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...BEFORE THAT OCCURS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL
CONTINUE WITH SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE.

..MOSIER.. 01/22/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35458691 35948688 36918594 37968446 38478326 38668253
            38718189 38568142 38228119 37328205 36898282 36178440
            35768496 35478536 35268595 35188666 35458691
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