[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 13 17:48:44 CDT 2014
ACUS11 KWNS 132248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132247
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-140015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1881
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA INTO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 541...
VALID 132247Z - 140015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 541 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WW 541.
STRONG...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO
THE TORNADO THREAT.
DISCUSSION...TORNADO THREAT MAY BE INCREASING ACROSS WW 541 AS THE
CHARACTERISTIC OF THE SQUALL LINE HAS BEGUN TO CHANGE RECENTLY.
RADAR REFLECTIVITY OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO HAS SHOWN A TRANSITION
TO A MORE CELLULAR-LIKE CHARACTERISTC OR LEWP NATURE TO CONVECTION
RATHER THAN A SOLID/CONTINUOUS LINE. 22Z SFC OBS INDICATED STRONGER
SFC PRESSURE FALLS ARE OCCURRING OVER SRN INDIANA INTO CENTRAL KY
AND LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE BACKED FROM THE S TO A MORE SELY DIRECTION.
ADDITIONALLY...REGION VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW FAVORABLE 0-1 KM SRH
RANGING FROM 150-250 M2/S2. GIVEN THIS FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT JUXTAPOSED WITH MID 60S SFC DEWPOINTS AND ADEQUATE
INSTABILITY...TORNADO THREAT WITHIN INDIVIDUAL CELLS AND/OR EMBEDDED
WITHIN LINE SEGMENTS MAY BE INCREASING.
..LEITMAN.. 10/13/2014
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...
LAT...LON 40408758 40368542 36618582 36618843 38518804 38718800
40358759 40408758
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