[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 142000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141959
KYZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-142130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0601
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE MS...MIDDLE TN...NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 153...

VALID 141959Z - 142130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 153
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED...LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS WW 153 THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH STRONGER CELLS.

DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING
ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING STORMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO LIMIT STORM INTENSITY. FURTHERMORE...EARLY VORTICITY MAX
PROVIDING DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT HAS LIFTED TO THE NORTH OF THE
WATCH AREA. THIS ALSO HAS LIMITED ORGANIZATION/INTENSITY OF LINEAR
CONVECTION ALONG THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING INTO ERN
MS/CENTRAL TN. THAT BEING SAID...MODEST SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
NEAR 1000-1500 J/KG COUPLED WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN A VERY
MOIST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BOTH ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. PW VALUES AOA
1.50 INCHES WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG WET
MICROBURST IN STRONGER/BETTER ORGANIZED CELLS.

..LEITMAN.. 05/14/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   34508618 34538893 35608832 36648758 36618474 34658607
            34508618


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