[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jun 8 22:51:40 CDT 2014
ACUS11 KWNS 090353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090353
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-090530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/ERN AR...NRN/CNTRL MS...NRN LA...SWRN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265...
VALID 090353Z - 090530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL RISKS
SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH REGENERATIVE TSTM CLUSTERS
ALONG/N OF A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. AN ADDITIONAL WW
DOWNSTREAM OF WW 265 APPEARS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...THREE PRIMARY AREAS OF CONVECTION WERE ONGOING
WITHIN/NEAR WW 265 -- 1) OVER THE ARKLAMISS...2) FROM NEAR LIT TO
MEM AND 3) ALONG THE I-30 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR DFW TO TXK. 03Z SURFACE
ANALYSIS PLACED A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR DFW TO ALONG
THE LA/AR BORDER TOWARDS NW AL. REGIONAL VWP DATA OVER THE PAST 4-5
HOURS GENERALLY DEPICT WEAKENING OF 3-6 KM AGL WINDS TO AROUND 30 KT
AS DIFFUSE MCV HAS PULLED AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE MID-MS
VALLEY. THIS SUGGESTS THAT CLUSTERS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
CONVECTIVE MODE...AS WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT FOSTERS REGENERATIVE
STORMS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
..GRAMS.. 06/09/2014
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 32869451 33139457 33149459 33299468 33719379 34389221
35009151 35338974 35338845 35158797 34568809 33978816
33208834 32418920 32169062 32149222 32869451
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