[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KILM 220950
HLSILM
NCZ105>108-221800-

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL162023
550 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal New Hanover,
      Coastal Pender, Inland New Hanover, and Inland Pender

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 310 miles south-southeast of Wilmington NC or about 320
      miles southeast of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 30.5N 75.0W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen off the Southeast U.S. coast will move
northward through Saturday, possibly becoming a tropical storm before
likely making landfall near Cape Lookout North Carolina.

The primary hazards across southeast North Carolina and northeast
South Carolina are expected to be:

* Marine/Surf - hazardous marine and surf conditions along the entire
coast of northeast South Carolina and southeast North Carolina

* Heavy Rain - heavy downpours could cause localized minor flooding of
roads and low-lying areas, mainly across eastern portions of southeast
North Carolina

* Winds - tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, are likely,
especially along the coast north of Cape Fear

* Coastal Flooding - minor coastal flooding possible, especially north
of Cape Fear during the Friday afternoon high tide

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast NC mainly east of I-95, and portions of coastal
northeast SC including eastern Horry county. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few
      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks
      and ditches may overflow.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts along and west of I-95, as well as Marion, Williamsburg
and Georgetown counties.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes is possible. Unsecured lightweight objects may be
      blown about.
    - Some large limbs may break from trees. A few shallow rooted or
      weak trees may snap or be knocked down. Some fences and roadway
      signs damaged.
    - A few roads may become impassable due to debris, particularly
      within urban or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving
      conditions are possible, especially for high profile vehicles
      on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages are possible.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal southeast North Carolina, mainly north of Cape
Fear. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation and minor over-wash is possible, mainly
      along immediate shorelines and other vulnerable low-lying areas
      along the coast. Low spots along waterways and tidal creeks may
      also be impacted.
    - Navigation may be difficult near inlets and waterways, as
      navigational aids may be off station or missing.
    - Minor beach erosion possible.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southeast NC. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
      buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
      structures are particularly vulnerable.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Hazardous surf conditions, including life-threatening rip currents,
are expected through Saturday along the entire southeast North Carolina
and northeast South Carolina coasts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect
life and property in accordance with your emergency plan.

Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical
storm force wind.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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