[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 21 22:05:29 CDT 2023
WTUS82 KMHX 220305
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NCZ029-044>047-079>081-091-092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205-221115-
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC AL162023
1105 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023
This product covers Eastern North Carolina
**POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 STRENGTHENING...EXPECTED TO IMPACT
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING FRIDAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Duplin
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Beaufort, East Carteret, Mainland Hyde, Pamlico, and
Southern Craven
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Onslow, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare, Northern
Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Tyrrell, Washington, and West
Carteret
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Duplin, Greene,
Inland Onslow, Jones, Lenoir, Martin, Northern Craven, and Pitt
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 400 miles south of Buxton NC or about 370 miles
south-southeast of Morehead City NC
- 29.5N 75.3W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 3 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Potential Tropical Cyclone 16, currently east of the Florida
peninsula, will continue to strengthen as it moves toward eastern
North Carolina over the next couple of days. Regardless of
development, impacts will occur across eastern North Carolina, with
the greatest impacts along the coast.
Life threatening storm surge is possible across all coastal areas
later Friday into the weekend. The most extensive impacts are expected
to be along the lower Pamlico and Neuse Rivers, with at least minor
overwash also possible along the Outer Banks. There is also the
potential for rapid water level rises for soundside Outer Banks
Saturday or Saturday evening.
Tropical storm force winds could start impacting portions of eastern
North Carolina by early Friday morning with strong winds continuing
through Saturday, potentially bringing scattered tree damage and power
outages mainly along and east of Hwy 17.
Heavy rain bands could produce flash flooding of low lying areas with
localized rainfall amounts near 7 inches expected near the coast.
A few tornadoes could produce locally significant damage, mainly east
of Highway 17.
Dangerous marine conditions are also expected with very dangerous surf
conditions along the beaches.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across all of eastern North Carolina north of Surf City.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.
* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across areas east of Highway 17 and the Outer Banks. Potential impacts
in this area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across areas along and west of Highway 17.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across Eastern North Carolina. Potential impacts
include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across areas along and east of Highway 17. Potential impacts
include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across areas west of Highway 17.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 5 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
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