[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
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emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 21 17:15:19 CDT 2023
WTUS81 KAKQ 212214
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MDZ021>025-NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ075>078-084>086-089-090-093-095>100-523>525-220615-
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Wakefield VA AL162023
614 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023
This product covers CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE
LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
...LOW EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST AND BRING
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING STORM
SURGE BEGINNING ON FRIDAY...
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning for Accomack, Camden, Eastern Currituck, Gloucester,
Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex,
Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Northampton, Pasquotank,
Perquimans, Suffolk, Virginia Beach, Western Currituck, and York
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for James
City and Surry
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been issued
for Westmoreland
- A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Bertie,
Dorchester, Hertford, Richmond, Somerset, and Wicomico
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Accomack, Camden, Eastern Currituck, Gloucester,
Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Lancaster,
Mathews, Middlesex, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth,
Northampton, Pasquotank, Perquimans, Suffolk, Surry, Virginia
Beach, Western Currituck, and York
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Bertie, Chowan, Northumberland, and Westmoreland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Chesapeake,
Dorchester, Gates, Hertford, Inland Worcester, Maryland
Beaches, Richmond, Somerset, and Wicomico
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 630 miles south of Ocean City MD or about 530 miles south
of Norfolk VA
- 29.2N 75.9W
- Storm Intensity 35 mph
- Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 500 PM EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 was centered near
latitude 29.2 North, longitude 75.9 West. The system is moving toward
the north near 8 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue
through early Friday. A north-northwestward to northward motion is
forecast by late Friday and continue into the weekend. The center of
the cyclone is expected to approach the coast of North Carolina within
the warning area Friday night and early Saturday.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for locations along and near the
coastlines of the Atlantic Ocean from Duck, NC to Fenwick Island, DE,
the Chesapeake Bay from Cape Henry to Smith Point, the tidal rivers of
eastern Virginia, the Maryland Eastern Shore (Dorchester, Wicomico,
and Somerset), and the Currituck and Albemarle Sounds of NC. A Storm
Surge Warning is in effect for the Atlantic coast from Duck, NC to
Chincoteague, VA, the Chesapeake Bay from Cape Henry to Windmill Point
and the tidal rivers of eastern VA, and along the Currituck Sound and
much of the Albemarle Sounds in NC. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect
for the western Albemarle Sound, west of the Perquimans River as well
as from Windmill Point northwest along the tidal Potomac to Colonial
Beach. Tropical Storm force wind is expected to arrive Friday night
into early Saturday and this could lead to downed trees and scattered
power outages. Areas of moderate to major coastal flooding are possible
during high tide Friday night into Saturday.
Heavy rainfall is expected to accompany the cyclone with 2-3 inches
possible inland, and 3-5 inches closer to the coast. There is a
limited threat of tornadoes along the coast of northeast NC.
Dangerous marine conditions are expected Friday night into Saturday
due to the strong winds and high seas. Seas build to 10 to 15 feet
Friday night into Saturday and remain elevated into Sunday.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Northeast North Carolina, Eastern Virginia, and Southeast Maryland.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway signs
will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, little to no impact
is anticipated.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Northeast North Carolina and Eastern Virginia.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Severe storm surge flooding will likely cause inundation of
numerous roads and buildings, resulting in a threat to life and
property. Flooding will likely extend inland from the
waterfront and shoreline flooding homes, businesses and
isolating some neighborhoods. Large breaking waves will result
in additional damage near the shoreline.
- Numerous roads flooded or washed out.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching some dunes.
- Severe damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
expected. Small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected marinas and docks.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Southeast Maryland.
Elsewhere across CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, little to no impact
is anticipated.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Northeast North Carolina, Eastern Virginia, and
Southeast Maryland. Potential impacts include:
- Flooding from heavy rainfall may prompt evacuations and rescues
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen, with swift
currents, and overspill their banks. Small streams, creeks, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures and/or weaken
foundations. Some areas may experience areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures are expected.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across eastern Virginia Piedmont.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across Northeast North Carolina.
Potential impacts include:
- Some tornadoes are expected, some of which could be intense. As
a result, execution of emergency plans could be hindered in
affected areas.
- Several places may experience tornado damage, with a few areas
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles
tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southern and southeast Virginia, extending northeast into the
Maryland and Virginia Eastern Shore.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see
www.readyvirginia.gov, readync.org or mema.maryland.gov
- For the latest weather and storm information go to
weather.gov/wakefield
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wakefield VA around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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