[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KCRP 132142
HLSCRP
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Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX  AL142021
442 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers South Texas

**NICHOLAS CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been cancelled for Coastal Nueces,
      Coastal San Patricio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and
      Nueces Islands

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bee, Coastal Kleberg,
      Coastal Nueces, Coastal San Patricio, Goliad, Inland Kleberg,
      Inland Nueces, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, Nueces
      Islands, and Victoria
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands,
      Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland
      Calhoun
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Inland Refugio

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 50 miles southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 70 miles
      south of Port Oconnor TX
    - 27.4N 96.4W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas has shifted slightly east and continues to
slowly organize this late afternoon across the Middle Texas coastal
waters. Nicholas has also sped up its northward motion, and is still
expected to intensify further this afternoon as it moves north, making
landfall tonight along the Middle or Upper Texas coast. Periods of
heavy rainfall will continue tonight. Additional rainfall totals of 2
to 3 inches with locally higher amounts are possible, mainly along the
northern Coastal Bend. The heavy rain threat should diminish Tuesday
morning. Storm surge inundation of 2 to 4 feet north of Port Aransas
remains possible as Nicholas moves closer. A few tornadoes are also
possible this afternoon and evening, especially across the immediate
coastal locations north of Port Aransas. Nicholas could still become a
Hurricane shortly before making landfall tonight. Therefore, a
Hurricane Watch remains in effect north of Port Aransas.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the Coastal Plains, Coastal Bend, and Victoria Crossroads.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Brush Country.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
locations north of Port Aransas. Remain well away from life-
threatening surge having additional significant impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Potential impacts from surge are now unfolding across locations south
of Port Aransas. Remain well away from locally hazardous surge having
possible limited impacts.

Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain remain possible across the
northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Remain well guarded
against dangerous flood waters having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.


Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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