[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 12 22:10:44 CDT 2021


WTUS84 KEWX 130310
HLSEWX
TXZ209-222>225-131115-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX  AL142021
1010 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

This product covers South Central Texas

**Tropical Storm Watch in Effect**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for De Witt, Fayette,
      Gonzales, Karnes, and Lavaca

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles south of La Grange TX or about 470 miles
      south-southeast of Cuero TX
    - 22.5N 95.5W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 2 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas will move through the western Gulf of Mexico
tonight and Monday. The storm is expected to move inland over the
middle or upper Texas coast Tuesday morning. There is a potential for
tropical storm force winds over Karnes, DeWitt, Lavaca, Gonzales, and
Fayette Counties, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Gusts to
tropical storm force are also possible around the periphery of this
area. Tropical storm force winds are most likely to arrive as early as
Monday night and continue through the day Tuesday. In addition, locally
heavy rainfall could lead to flooding in some areas Monday through
Tuesday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are forecast, with locally
higher amounts possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      usually dry creek beds, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some low water crossings could become flooded
      and turn deadly if attempting to pass through. Some road and
      bridge closures.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Coastal Plains. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South
Central Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - No mandatory evacuations are in effect. Follow
the instructions of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Austin/San Antonio TX around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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