[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 12 16:21:29 CDT 2021
WTUS84 KCRP 122121
HLSCRP
TXZ231>234-241>247-342>347-442-443-447-130530-
Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX AL142021
421 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021
This product covers South Texas
**TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a
Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued
for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal
Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland Calhoun
- A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Bee, Inland
Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland San Patricio, Jim Wells, and
Live Oak
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Goliad and Victoria
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Watch
and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Inland Refugio
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal San Patricio,
Inland Kleberg, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and
Nueces Islands
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Inland Refugio
- A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
Watch are in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands,
Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland
Calhoun
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bee, Goliad, Inland
Nueces, Jim Wells, Live Oak, and Victoria
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 360 miles south-southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 390
miles south of Port Oconnor TX
- 22.8N 95.5W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 14 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Nicholas continues to become more organized while
strengthening in the southern Gulf of Mexico. This system is forecast
to move north and pass near or just offshore the Lower Texas coast
before making landfall along the Middle Texas coast late Monday night
into Tuesday morning. Periods of heavy rainfall remain possible
Tuesday resulting in rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches with locally
higher amounts possible. This will likely lead to flash flooding at
times across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Storm surge
inundation of 2 to 4 feet is possible at Nicholas moves closer to the
coast. Tropical storm force winds are likely to arrive Monday evening
with gusts to hurricane force possible. It is not out of the question
that these winds arrive as early as Monday afternoon. Additional
strengthening of this system is possible at it nears the Middle Texas
coast. Therefore, a Hurricane Watch is now in effect north of Port
Aransas.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Potential
impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across the Coastal Plains and eastern Brush Country.
* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Coastal Bend, Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the Brush Country.
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the immediate coast where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the bays and various inland waterways.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.
When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
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