[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091803 CCA
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021

Corrected position reference for Larry and Mindy.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles
east-northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Depression Mindy,
located offshore the southeast coast of the United States.

The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over northeastern Honduras and the western
Caribbean Sea.  This system is forecast to emerge over the southern
Bay of Campeche on Saturday.  Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive to support some gradual development of this
disturbance before it moves over mainland Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast
of Africa Saturday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression
could form late this weekend or early next week as it moves
west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Hagen
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