[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 301734
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A strong low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, continues to produce
some shower activity near and to the east of its center while moving
southeastward at around 15 mph.  The low appears to be gradually
losing its frontal structure, and the system is likely to transition
to a subtropical storm by early next week while it meanders over the
central subtropical Atlantic.  By the middle of next week, the
system is expected to turn northward and move toward colder waters.
For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  The
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of
organization, and environmental conditions could support some
development of this system during the next couple of days while it
moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Upper-level winds
are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further
development by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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