[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 301147
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers continue to show some signs of organization near a strong,
frontal low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.  The nontropical low is
likely to lose its associated fronts this weekend while it moves
southeastward toward slightly warmer waters, and thereafter it could
transition to a subtropical storm later this weekend or early next
week over the central Atlantic.  The system is expected to turn
northward and move toward colder waters by the middle of next week.
For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the
disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  By the
middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over
cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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