[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 281119
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined low pressure system located about 190 miles
east-southeast of Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms mainly west of the center.
However, any additional increase in organization of the thunderstorm
activity would result in the issuance of advisories for a tropical
depression or tropical storm later this morning or afternoon.  The
low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and the
system should reach the coast of southern South Carolina or Georgia
by this evening.  If advisories are initiated, then tropical storm
warnings could be required for a portion of the Georgia and South
Carolina coasts with short notice. Regardless of development, a few
inches of rain are possible along the immediate coasts of Georgia
and southern South Carolina through Tuesday.  An Air Force Reserve
Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the
central tropical Atlantic Ocean.  Some slow development is possible
through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward
to west-northwestward at about 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser
Antilles Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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