[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 280550
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A small low pressure system is located about 300 miles
east-southeast of Savannah, Georgia.  The associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, with most of it
displaced to the northwest of the surface center due to strong
upper-level winds.  The low is forecast to move quickly
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing over the warmer waters
of the Gulf Stream later this morning, and it has some potential to
become a tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the
coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina by this evening.  If the
system becomes more organized today, then tropical storm warnings
could be required for a portion of the Georgia and South Carolina
coasts with short notice.  Regardless of development, a few inches
of rain are possible along the immediate coasts of Georgia and
southern South Carolina through tonight.  An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this
afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.  Some slow development is possible
through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward
to west-northwestward at about 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser
Antilles late Wednesday or Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Pasch
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