[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 020913
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Wed Jun 2 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, from 15N southward,
moving westward 10 knots to 15 knots. Scattered moderate
convection is from 03N to 07N between 22W and 26W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 37W, from 11N southward,
moving westward 10 knots to 15 knots. Isolated moderate convection
is from 06N to 09N between 36W and 41W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 67W/68W, from 12N southward,
moving westward 10 knots to 15 knots. Precipitation is inland in
Venezuela.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea
near 10N14W to 07.5N18W. The ITCZ continues from 07.5N18W to
06N22W. It resumes from 05N25W to 05N36W, then resumes from 05N40W
to 05N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 03N to 07N between 26W and 33W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 08N to 10N between 50W and 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters. Light to gentle
winds are noted west of 92W, with moderate to fresh winds
elsewhere. Seas are in the 2-4 ft range N of 25N and 3-5 ft S of
25N.

High pressure ridging will continue across the forecast waters
this week. Fresh northeast to east winds will pulse each night off
the NW Yucatan Peninsula in association with a diurnal trough.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds are expected elsewhere through
the end of the week.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

High pressure prevails north of the area. The pressure gradient
between this area of high pressure and climatological low
pressure over Colombia is supporting fresh to locally strong
winds over the south central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds
are over the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the south central
Caribbean, 1-3 ft over the NW Caribbean, and 3-5 ft elsewhere.

Winds will pulse to fresh to strong over the south central
Caribbean tonight and Thu night. Otherwise, a high pressure ridge
north of the area will support moderate to fresh tradewinds across
much of the Caribbean through Sun.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N19W to 27N30W. High pressure prevails
elsewhere across the discussion waters anchored by 1027 mb high
pressure near 26N52W. Fresh to locally strong winds are noted
north of Hispaniola with moderate to fresh winds prevailing
elsewhere. Seas are in the 2-4 ft range W of 77W, with seas of 4-7
ft elsewhere.

For the forecast W of 65W, high pressure will prevail north of
the area through the remainder of the week. This will support
moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds across much of the
forecast waters through Sun.

$$
AL
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net