[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 23
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL052021
1107 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021

This product covers South Florida

**Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for Coastal Collier and
Mainland Monroe Counties**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Collier and
      Mainland Monroe

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 200 miles southwest of Miami FL or about 180 miles south
      of Naples FL
    - 23.5N 82.3W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving generally northwest over Western
Cuba this evening. The storm is forecast to emerge over the Florida
Straits and approach the Lower Florida Keys overnight before moving
into the eastern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

* Conditions should gradually deteoriate through the overnight hours
  with the concern for potential impacts across South Florida
  continuing through early Wednesday morning.
* The greatest risk for sustained tropical storm force winds and
  surge impacts will be along the immediate Southwest Florida coast,
  beginning early Tuesday morning. Wind concerns will linger through
  Tuesday Evening. Concerns for minor coastal flooding will linger
  through mid week.
* All of South Florida is also at risk for tropical storm force wind
  gusts in rain bands and flooding from excessive rainfall through
  late Tuesday.
* Isolated tornadoes and waterspouts may be possible through
  Tuesday.
* Some uncertainty remains with the intensity forecast for Elsa as
  it continues to cross Cuba tonight.
* Residents and visitors should remain aware of the latest
  forecast and rush last minute preparations to completion.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across South Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets, parking lots and underpasses become submerged. Driving
      conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with
      some weakened or washed out.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
portions of South Florida, especially along the Gulf Coast where
Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across vulnerable coastal areas, in particular coastal Southwest
Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across portions of the Gulf Coast and Lake Okeechobee Region.
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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