[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 5 16:09:03 CDT 2021
WTUS82 KTAE 052108
HLSTAE
FLZ018-019-028-029-034-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ159-160-060515-
Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 22
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL AL052021
508 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021
This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia
**Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings Now Issued**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a
Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Dixie and Coastal Taylor
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Brooks
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Wakulla, Inland Dixie,
and Inland Taylor
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Brooks, Coastal
Franklin, Inland Jefferson, Lafayette, Lowndes, and Madison
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Coastal Dixie and Coastal Taylor
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Inland Dixie and
Inland Taylor
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Jefferson and Coastal Wakulla
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 530 miles south-southeast of St Marks or about 490 miles
south-southeast of Steinhatchee River
- 22.7N 81.9W
- Storm Intensity 50 mph
- Movement Northwest or 315 degrees at 14 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to enter the eastern
Gulf of Mexico later tonight. Elsa is forecast to move northward
roughly parallel to the Florida Peninsula before approaching the
Southeast Big Bend Tuesday night. Elsa is currently forecast to make
landfall as a tropical storm somewhere along the Southeast Big Bend
sometime around Wednesday morning. Conditions could begin to
deteriorate across the Southeast Big Bend as early as Tuesday evening.
Tropical storm force winds will be possible across the Southeast Big
Bend and could cause downed tree limbs, power outages, and loose
items blown around. A Storm Surge of around 3 to 5 feet will be
possible across Apalachee Bay but will remain heavily dependent on any
track and intensity changes. Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with isolated
amounts near 5 to 6 inches will be possible with Elsa. This rainfall
could cause some localized flooding issues across the Southeast Big
Bend. An isolated tornado or two will also be possible across the far
Southeast Big Bend.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Southeast Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across Western Big Bend and Southwest Georgia.
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the central and eastern Florida Big Bend. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across western Florida Big Bend.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Southeast Big Bend. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts elsewhere across the region.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Southeast Big Bend. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind
and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit.
Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Let others know where you are going prior to
departure. Secure loose items and pets in the car, and avoid
distracted driving.
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, follow designated evacuation
routes. Seek traffic information on roadway signs, the radio, and
from official sources.
IMMINENT/ONGOING PHASE - Do not enter evacuated areas until officials
have given the all clear to return.
RECOVERY PHASE - Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have
given the all clear to return.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city in which
you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list