[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 30 10:45:26 CDT 2021


WTUS84 KMOB 301545
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-302345-

Tropical Storm Ida Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL092021
1045 AM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**IDA MOVING NORTHWARD OVER WESTERN MISSISSIPPI**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and
      Mobile Coastal
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
      George, Greene, Mobile Inland, Perry, Stone, Washington, and
      Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 170 miles west-northwest of Mobile AL or about 230 miles
      west-northwest of Pensacola FL
    - 31.9N 90.7W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 10 AM CDT, Tropical Storm Ida continues to move north at 9 mph over
southwestern Mississippi. Minimum central pressure has increased to
996 mb.

Ida is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3-6 inches,
with higher isolated rainfall amounts. This is likely to result in
flash, urban, small stream, and river flooding over portions of our
area.

The tornado threat will continue across southeastern Mississippi,
southwestern Alabama, and portions of the western Florida Panhandle as
the outer rainbands on the eastern side of Ida move across the area.
This tornado threat is expected to persist and expand across much of
the area today.

3-5 feet of coastal water rises above normally dry ground along the
beaches, sounds, and the shoreline of Mobile Bay will continue today
into tonight. 1-3 feet of water rise is possible further east into the
western Florida Panhandle. Surf heights today will remain between 9-11
feet along the coast of Alabama and between 7-9 feet along the coast of
the western Florida Panhandle. Overall, these swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf, wave run up, and dangerous rip currents. Waves
and swells will remain elevated today and tonight, and potentially into
Tuesday as strong south to southwest winds persist over the marine areas.

Tropical storm force conditions, especially in frequent gusts, will
continue today over coastal Alabama, as well as over interior southeast
Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Remain well guarded
against dangerous flood waters having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across portions of
southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and
inland southeast Mississippi.. Remain well braced against a tornado
event having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
coastal Alabama and adjoining Mobile Bay shoreline. Remain well away
from life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding
across coastal sections of the western Florida Panhandle. Remain well
away from locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
southeast Mississippi and far southwest Alabama. Remain well
sheltered from hazardous wind having possible limited impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of interior southwest and south-central
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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